Motivated by reading BCB’s endorsement of Dempster and thinking about the Stats Geek dissection of Jose Mesa’s closing ability – is Ryan Dempster really 24/26 good or has he been fattening up on cheap saves?
Saves by Situation
Tie Game: 2-2
Up 1: 12-0
– 1 blown but he pitched another inning to secure the win
– 1 blown but the team picked him up
– If you count those as blown, that’s 10-2, 83.3%, or right on average
– every single 1 run save has been on the road!
Up 2: 7-0
Up 3: 7-0
About equal mix between tough/easier saves. Fine performance this year.
Dempster’s had a habit of making the saves pretty interesting, and I think he’s probably not going to be this great every season. His WHIP is 1.51, above the average of 1.36, mostly because he’s walking 2 more guys per 9 innings than he should. That’s common thru this bullpen this year; as a team, they’re .62 over average there.
I ended up gathering this data by searching thru box scores and game logs, because there doens’t appear to be a site with a good game log for this sort of stuff. (If you can point me in the right direction, that’d be swell.) I’ve posted my raw data after the break for checking/reuse purposes.
Date Opp Sit Score Decis IP Runs 05/09 @NYM 9 Down 1 Loss 1 2 05/11 @NYM 9 Up 1 BS/Win 2 1 05/17 @PIT 9 Up 1 Save 1 0 05/18 @PIT 9 Up 1 Save 1 0 05/23 vHOU 9 Up 3 Save 1 0 05/24 vHOU 9 Up 2 Save 1 0 05/28 vCOL 9 Up 4 ---- 1 0 05/30 @LAD 9 Up 3 Save 1 1 05/31 @LAD 10 Up 1 Save 1 0 06/01 @LAD 9 Up 4 ---- 1 0 06/05 @SDP 9 Up 4 ---- 1 0 06/08 vTOR 9 Up 2 Save 1 0 06/11 vBOS 9 Up 3 Save 1 2 06/15 vFLA 9 Up 10 ---- 1 0 06/20 @MIL 8 Up 1 Save 1.2 0 1 on 06/21 @MIL 9 Up 1 Save 1 0 06/25 @CHW 9 Up 4 ---- 1 0 06/26 @CHW 9 Up 2 Save 1 0 06/28 vMIL 9 Up 2 Save 1 0 07/03 vWAS 9 TIE ---- 2 0 loss in extras 07/07 @ATL 8.1 Down 4 ---- 1 1 1 on 07/08 @FLA 9 Up 3 Save 1 0 07/14 vPIT 9 Up 4 ---- 1 0 07/19 @CIN 9 Up 4 ---- 1 0 07/21 @CIN 8 TIE ---- .2 4 2 on (1/3) 07/23 @STL 9 Up 1 Save 1 0 07/24 @STL 9 Up 1 BS/Win 1 1 07/25 vSFG 9 TIE Win 1 0 07/27 vSFG 9 TIE Win 1 0 08/02 @PHI 9 Up 1 Save 1 0 08/05 @NYM 9 Down 4 ---- 1 0 08/09 vCIN 9.1 Down 1 ---- .2 4 08/12 vSTL 9 Up 4 ---- 1 1 08/14 vSTL 9 Up 2 Save 1 1 08/16 @HOU 9 Up 3 Save 1 0 08/17 @HOU 9.1 Up 2 Save .2 0 08/19 @COL 9 Up 1 Save 1 0 08/23 vATL 9 Up 9 ---- 1 0 08/28 vFLA 9 Up 11 ---- 1 0 08/30 vLAD 9 Up 3 Save 1 0 09/02 @PIT 8.2 Up 1 Save 1.1 0 1 on (2) 09/04 @PIT 9 Up 2 Save 1 0 09/06 @STL 9 Up 3 Save 1 0 09/07 @STL 9 Up 1 Save 1 0