Day: September 21, 2004

I may have not been doing this for a while because there was a good run of wins while I wasn’t doing these. And I may not be doing them again if I’ve just jinxed a loss tonight

SFG --- 12 32.59 Tomko v HOU Hernandez
CHC 0.5 13 55.48 Wood @ PIT Fogg
HOU 1.0 13 19.83 Hernandez @ SFG Tomko
SDP 4.0 12  2.23 Eaton @ LAD Weaver
FLA 4.5 13  0.74 Willis v PHI Lidle

New set of numbers are BP’s Playoff Odds, listing their chances to get in the playoffs. (Won’t total 100%.) Apparently, the need some work – Twins clinched last night, and yet the White Sox are listed as .0003% chance of winning the division. I guess that’s the odds of the Twins being hit by meteor.

We won’t have the same amount of games for everyone until next Thursday. Maybe things will spread out before then and the three way tie won’t loom as large.

This is the most pivotal three days of the NL Wild Card (uh, so far). Being swept either way for the Giants or the Astros mean they’re done, obviously. If you lose the series 1-2, you’re gonna lose at least one game to the Cubs (Cubs don’t win the series with the Pirates, you can kinda forget them) and one game to the other team.

And it comes down to such huge matchups as Carlos Hernadnez vs Brett Tomko. Tomko’s actually won his last 5 games and is 2-0 in 0.82. Wonder what’s going on there. Makes me suspect the Astros will be 2 out and looking dire at the end of the night.

They’ve already started writing obits for the 2004 Marlins, but I think this Giants/Astros series could allow them to tighten it up a bit. 4.0 games is long to go with these few games left, but I wouldn’t throw in the towel yet. Gonna need a lot of breaks, including help with the Padres.

But they’ve got the Phillies, which means sweep.

Padres are actually get less press than the team that’s behind them, because they don’t have the World Champions and Hurricane Problems angle behind them, but they