Day: June 7, 2004

NJ Super J addendum

This is the kinda thing you do when you power goes out but you still have life in the laptop. And this would be so much easier without draws. Based on the next set of matches: Kakihara is IN with a win, or a draw AND MA-G-MA loss or tie. Kanemoto is IN with a … Continue reading “NJ Super J addendum”

This is the kinda thing you do when you power goes out but you still have life in the laptop. And this would be so much easier without draws.

Based on the next set of matches:

Kakihara is IN with a win, or a draw AND MA-G-MA loss or tie.
Kanemoto is IN with a win and a Dragon loss or tie. (He’s got a 99% chance making it with a win.)
MA-G-MA is IN with a win and a Kakihara win. (He’s got a 98% chance with a win.)
Dragon is OUT with a loss and a Kanemoto win. (He’s only got a 7% chance to survive if he loses.)

Liger and Samurai are both most helped with Kakihara and MA-G-MA winning (81% and 41% respectively). Liger is hurt most when Kanemoto and Dragon pick up points, and Samuari is most hurt when Kakihara and Kanemoto win.

Highest chances for:
Top 3 is 6: Kanemoto and MA-G-MA draw and Kakihara and Dragon do not draw
Top 3 is 5: Kanemoto and MA-G-MA draw and Dragon over Kakihara
Top 3 is 4: Kakihara over Dragon, MA-G-MA over Kanemoto
Top 3 is 3: Kakihara over Dragon, Kanemoto over MA-G-MA

There’s no chance for 5 or 6 to advance given that last situation.

MLB Draft

I’m half paying attention to the MLB draft, mostly for the always fun Dodgers picks because Lasorda is doing them and is unaware five people are listening, and for the random oddities like “Hey, I bet that’s Kim Ng reading out the Yankees picks.”

I love how the two Cubs picks I’ve caught are from Notre Dame and William and Mary College; nothing screams fluky stats like a baseball team in a cold weather enviorment. But it’s my policy not to care about draft picks till at least they’re a DiamondJaxx (unless I happen to be at Daytona Cubs game), so whatever.

I totally think that if the reasons for being on the DL were kept top secret and not subject to evaluation, the Cubs would’ve listed Joe Bo as “heck if we know but he sure does suck”.

While I’m at it, via DugoutDollars: Your LaTroy Hawkins incentives
Games (30, on pace for 88): $50k total for 60, $100 total for 65, $150 for 70
Games Finished (?): $50 for 20, $100 for 25, $200 for 30, $350 for 35, $500 for 40, $650 for 45, $850 for 50, $1050 for 55, $1300 for 60

You notice they specifically didn’t use saves. Games Finished is a tough stat to track down, especially when MLB.com is being overloaded, so maybe I’ll edit later.

NJ Super J 06/07

Super J got less intersting when I got smartened up to three people moving on to the next round. Makes it too easy, makes the league stuff less important when it’s more of a “who gets left behind” instead of “who earns the right to move ahead.” I hate apple pie too. It happens. But … Continue reading “NJ Super J 06/07”

Super J got less intersting when I got smartened up to three people moving on to the next round. Makes it too easy, makes the league stuff less important when it’s more of a “who gets left behind” instead of “who earns the right to move ahead.”

I hate apple pie too. It happens.

But since Block A is wild wild world, and I had time to kill:

Block A: 6 matches left, 3 possible outcomes per match, 729 different sets of outcomes and every match counts.

Name Postive Outcomes % Advance
Kakihara 668 91.63%
Liger 519 71.19%
Kanemoto 513 70.37%
MA-G-MA 495 67.70%
American Dragon 276 37.86%
Samurai 238 32.65%
Inoue 0 00.00%
Taguchi 0 00.00%

Advancers

  1. 47.33%
  2. 36.35%
  3. 13.72%
  4. 2.61%

Block B: 6 matches left, 3 possible outcomes per match, but we’re presuming Curry forfiets both of his, so it’s really 4 matches left and 81 total outcomes. But then you consider that Garuda, Nakajima and Rocky are already out, which takes out Nakajima’s two matches against both them as far as advancing is concerned, and we’re down to Naruse vs Ultimo Dragon and Tiger Mask vs Heat and 9 outcomes.

Name Postive Outcomes % Advance
Naruse 9 100%
Tiger 9 100%
U Dragon 8 89%
Heat 5 56%

All four will move on if Heat does not lose to Ultimo (win or draw), and Naruse and Tiger do not tie. Dragon is only out if he loses and Naruse and Tiger do tie, while Heat is out if he loses or if everyone ties.

Picks
Ultimo over Curry!
Gaurda over Nakajima
Dragon over Kakihara
Kanemoto DRAW MA-G-MA

Because I love five way ties at 7. And then maybe Taguchi and Samuari tie the next show to make it a six way tie! Which probably wouldn’t work out well for those who don’t have a match left.

2 sides to every story

Via WrestlingDB: Bobbi Billard’s livejournal. You may faintly remember as part of WOW’s Beach Patrol (Summer? Scared to be right), but she also got a devolpmental deal a while back. Which didn’t work out so well for anyone involved. If you’ve scanned recent copies of the WON, you’ve gotten a quick summary of the WWE’s … Continue reading “2 sides to every story”

Via WrestlingDB: Bobbi Billard’s livejournal. You may faintly remember as part of WOW’s Beach Patrol (Summer? Scared to be right), but she also got a devolpmental deal a while back. Which didn’t work out so well for anyone involved.

If you’ve scanned recent copies of the WON, you’ve gotten a quick summary of the WWE’s take (where things turned out like Dave had expected from Day One), and this is basically her reaction to that version of the story.

Accurate or not – and without being there, all you’ve really got is different points of views and your own biases about who to believe – it does expose a weird and probably counterproductive part of the current training system: when active WWE wrestlers are involved, the teachers are grooming the students to take their own jobs.

06/05 Heat and 06/06 Velocity

Liked Most: Batista vs Val Venis Liked Least: Holly/Gunn vs FBI, I guess. List: Mark Jindrak matches since joining up with Theodore R. Long vs Orlando Jordan (04/24) – Velocity vs Shannon Moore (05/01) – Velocity vs Scotty 2 Hotty (05/08) – Velocity vs Spike Dudley (05/15) – Velocity vs Funaki (05/16) – Heat vs … Continue reading “06/05 Heat and 06/06 Velocity”

Liked Most: Batista vs Val Venis
Liked Least: Holly/Gunn vs FBI, I guess.
List: Mark Jindrak matches since joining up with Theodore R. Long

vs Orlando Jordan (04/24) – Velocity
vs Shannon Moore (05/01) – Velocity
vs Scotty 2 Hotty (05/08) – Velocity
vs Spike Dudley (05/15) – Velocity
vs Funaki (05/16) – Heat
vs Paul London (05/22) – Velocity
vs Shannon Moore (05/29) – Velocity
vs Billy Kidman (06/05) – Velocity

If we’re going on with the “most people who watch SmackDown! have no idea what happens on Velocity”, Jindrak saved Long two months ago and hasn’t been seen except for a lumberjack cameo since.